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1. chinaXiv:202002.00065 [pdf]

Potential of Arbidol for Post-exposure Prophylaxis of COVID-19 Transmission

Bo,Hu; Wenjing,Wang; Jingnong,Zhang; Bo,Peng; Wei,Peng; Yisheng,Zhang; Yaling,Wang; Jiang,Chang; Ling,Mao; Yan,Wan; Xiaoping,Miao; Yifan,Zhou; Yanan,Li; Yu,Hu
Subjects: Medicine, Pharmacy >> Clinical Medicine

Background: The efficient transmission of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome-2 Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) from patients to healthcare workers or family members has been a worrisome and prominent feature of the ongoing outbreak. On the basis of clinical practice and in-vitro studies, we postulated that post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) using Arbidol is associated with decreased infection among individuals exposed to confirmed cases of COVID-19 infection. Methods: We conducted a retrospective case-control study on family members and health care workers who were exposed to patients confirmed to have SARS-CoV-2 infection by real-time RT-PCR and Chest CT from January 1 to January 16, 2020. We collected demographic information, work location of exposure, post-exposure prophylaxis information, and symptoms, if any, 24 days after exposure. The relation between post-exposure prophylaxis and infection in household contacts and healthcare workers were respectively analyzed. Results: 27 families and 124 health care workers had evidence of close exposure to patients with confirmed COVID-19. There were no differences in age, profession and sex distribution in the two groups with different post-exposure prophylaxis, table 1. Logistic regression based on the data of the family members and health care workers with Arbidol or Oseltamivir prophylaxis showed that Arbidol PEP was a strong protective factor against the development of COVID-19 (Odds ratio 0·011 , 95% CI 0·001-0·125, P=0·0003 for family members and Odds ratio 0·049, 95%CI 0·003-0·717), P= 0·0276 for health care workers). On the contrary, Oseltamivir was associated with an increase in COVID-19 infection (Odds ratio 20·446, 95% CI 1·407-297·143, P= 0·0271). Conclusions: Our findings suggest Arbidol could reduce the infection risk of the novel coronavirus in hospital and family settings. This treatment should be promoted for PEP use and should be the subject of further investigation.

submitted time 2020-02-25 Hits168Downloads76 Comment 0

2. chinaXiv:202002.00066 [pdf]


诸葛昌靖; 张东艳; 杨武岳; 彭梁榕; 洪柳
Subjects: Mathematics >> Modeling and Simulation

基于经典动力学模型和模型参数自动优化算法, 本文分析了全国当前累计确诊感染病例数大于100(截止到2020年2月16日)的24个省市自治区, 以及湖北省除神农架以外的16个地市从2020年1月20日至2月16日的累计确诊病例数, 并对相应省市地区疫情可能的结束时间和总感染人数的进行了长期预测. 我们的研究表明, 在目前严防严控措施下, 全国大部分省市的疫情将于2月底前基本结束, 而湖北省内疫情也有望于3月中旬结束, 但是武汉市的疫情可能要持续到4月初. 通过对比公开数据与预测值, 我们建议加强对黑龙江、河北、江西、安徽、贵州和四川六省, 以及湖北省内武汉、荆州、鄂州、随州、天门和恩施六个地市的的监控, 以防疫情死灰复燃. 此外, 分析结果提示, 在疫情发展前期, 天津、河北、重庆、四川、海南和广西等省, 以及湖北省下辖多个地市可能存在着聚集性感染, 这有待于疫后进一步的流行病学调查确认.

submitted time 2020-02-25 Hits199Downloads143 Comment 0

3. chinaXiv:202002.00064 [pdf]


董念念; 王雪莉
Subjects: Psychology >> Management Psychology


submitted time 2020-02-25 Hits39Downloads11 Comment 0

4. chinaXiv:202002.00063 [pdf]

Perspectives on Active Preventive Measures of Wuhan People against COVID-19 Epidemic at Home: A Comparative Study

zhidong,Xue; Lei,Zhao; Tailang,Yin; Yan,Fu; Zehua,Lyu; yiping,Dang; Yujiang,Zeng; Silou,Huang; Bing,Qu; Hongya,Lyu; Chen,Huang; Zhiyou,Kong; Kepei,Xu; Feipeng,Zhou; Hexun,Dong; He,Hu; Jing,Tang; Senyuan,Xue; Zhixiang,Fang; Jinxiang,Lu
Subjects: Computer Science >> Computer Application Technology

Background:The COVID-19 Epidemic emerged in Wuhan, Hubei province, China. Ever since Wuhan lockdown on January 23rd, mass quarantines were exercised on Wuhan and other epidemic areas of China. We aimed to clarify how ordinary Wuhan people defend against COVID-19 epidemic at home through the Internet survey. Methods:A questionnaire survey, consisting of 30 questions were posted on the Internet. The following aspects were investigated: household preventive measures, self-monitoring of discomfort symptoms, immunity boosting against the epidemic, frequency and reasons of outgoing and mental status of the isolated people. The questionnaire was circulated on Wechat. We marked the areas based on the surveyed network IP addresses and categorized respondents into group A(Wuhan), B(Hubei Province excluding Wuhan ), C, and D based on the epidemic severity of their areas announced by at 17:00 on February 8, 2020. And a comparative study was conducted to illustrate how Wuhan people took the anti-COVID-19 strategies and how efficient these preventive measures were. Findings:In terms of discomfort symptoms, Wuhan, as Group A, had the lowest asymptomatic percentages (70.2%), compared to the average 78.5% (±7%). Considering the three typical symptoms for the COVID-19, i.e., cough, fever and fatigue, Wuhan (9.67%) greatly deviated from the average (7.68%). The fatigue was the most significant factor in the deviation, exceeding the average by 1.35%. In terms of household protection measures, most people or families were able to take effective protection measures with very low frequency of going out, but the percentage of those who took this practice was obviously smaller in Wuhan and Hubei Province. From the aspect of going out, most of the people in Wuhan only went out for shopping and work, with a small number of people for social gathering. In terms of immunity boosting, compared with Group C and D, it was relatively lower in Wuhan. Overall, most people chose to enhance their immunity through regular schedule, exercise, sufficient nutrition. Only 33.44% of people in Group A did not go out, and 59.97% had to go out for living supplies, which was the highest level among the four groups. However, the percentage of people who went out for work and unnecessary activities remains the lowest while 1% of the population went out for public welfare activities, higher than other groups. Worry about the family health topped all the parameters for all the groups. Among them, Wuhan has reached a maximum of 49.61%, higher than the average level of 36.62% (± 10.69%). Mental status except for feeling bored and lonely were the highest in Wuhan. Suggestions:When the epidemic prevention and control is still in a sticky state, and Wuhan started a stricter control measure, the closed management of communities, on Feb 11, 2020, it is expected that our findings can provide some insights into the current household preventive actions and arouse more attentions of the public to some ignored preventive precautions. Unnecessary outgoing should be strictly abandoned. Regular schedule, exercises and nutrition were the top 3 measures participants would choose to enhance their own immunity system. It seems that people in Wuhan would choose nutrition and regular scheduler rather than exercises as the primary immunity-boosting ways. Exercise should be especially advocated as an effective way to enhance the immunity system. In terms of physical condition, people in Wuhan should take more active measures when symptoms occurred. The mentality is also an important aspect requiring intensive attention with the conduct of stricter control management in Wuhan while the rest groups gradually resume to work and ordinary life.

submitted time 2020-02-24 Hits205Downloads49 Comment 0

5. chinaXiv:201904.00073 [pdf]

Prevent culture-driven invasive species spread

Xiong Li; Supriyo Basak; Rui Zhou; Wei-zhe Zhang; Yao Fu; Xin-mao Zhou; Chao Shi; Hou-Cheng Xi; Yong-ping Yang
Subjects: Biology >> Ecology


submitted time 2020-02-24 Hits3654Downloads366 Comment 0

6. chinaXiv:202002.00062 [pdf]

Furin, a potential therapeutic target for COVID-19

Hua Li; Canrong Wu; Yueying Yang; Yang Liu; Peng Zhang; Yali Wang; Qiqi Wang; Yang Xu; Mingxue Li; Mengzhu Zheng; Lixia Chen
Subjects: Medicine, Pharmacy >> Pharmacology

A novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) infectious disease has broken out in Wuhan, Hubei Province since December 2019, and spread rapidly from Wuhan to other areas, which has been listed as an international concerning public health emergency. We compared the Spike proteins from four sources, SARS-CoV-2, SARS-CoV, MERS-CoV and Bat-CoVRaTG13, and found that the SARS-CoV-2 virus sequence had redundant PRRA sequences. Through a series of analyses, we propose the reason why SARS-CoV-2is more infectious than other coronaviruses. And through structure based virtual ligand screening, we foundpotentialfurin inhibitors, which might be used in the treatment of new coronary pneumonia.

submitted time 2020-02-23 Hits1928Downloads1105 Comment 0

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